Advertisement
It's a great time for football in Australia - except for one thing we dare not talk about.
First, let's consider the good news. The highly-anticipated new A-League season kicks off this Thursday with Gold Coast United and North Queensland Fury joining the fray.
Gold Coast bring collateral - a millionaire owner flying his players around the country in a private jet, motormouth coach Miron Bleiberg, and Jason Culina, who left Australia unknown a decade ago to now be considered marquee material thanks to Guus Hiddink's affection for workaholic midfielders.
North Queensland, by contrast, bring a comical name and logo as well as Robbie Fowler, an English striker whose best days are long gone and may or may not be in Australia for a tropical holiday.
Entertainment, ahoy.
This has been an interesting week for Football Federation Australia. The bold governing body has pulled off a public relations coup instigating retroactive disciplinary measures for 'simulation', i.e. 'diving'.
Entertainment, ahoy, times two.
While that is all good news, on the other hand perhaps the most significant event impacting football in Australia took place on the other side of the world.
Last Sunday, CONCACAF, the confederation for North and Central America, held the final of its regional Championship at Giants Stadium in New York in front of 80,000 fans, most of them supporting Mexico against the United States.
Flashing lights: The crowd figure is importantly tied to the fact both the US and Mexico fielded second- or third-choice teams.
Also important is that FIFA President Sepp Blatter was in the crowd, watching the huge support for a match that barely matters.
Also on his itinerary? While Australian cities wrangle over just the idea of constructing potential stadiums, Blatter was already on a walk-through of the New Meadowlands, a state-of-the-art arena that will be a likely venue if the US hosts either the 2018 or 2022 FIFA World Cups.
Blatter also visited the White House, met with President Obama, and extended an invitation to the Prez to attend next year's World Cup in South Africa with his family, including his soccer-playing daughters.
But it is what Blatter told US Soccer Federation President Sunil Gulati after meeting Obama that may be crucial to Australia's World Cup host hopes - or lack of them.
It's something that has been overlooked by pretty much all Australian media, too busy wearing green and gold goggles to look at reality of global football politics.
(Except for this report here by, um, me).
Blatter told Gulati this week that FIFA Executive Committee members are torn between Europe and North America for 2018 - a position that may knock Australia out of contention for both tournaments.
"If FIFA were following a policy of rotation then it would in fact be North America's turn [in 2018]," Blatter said, according to Gulati. (Note: Note to Oceania - not your turn).
"There are some within the Executive Committee that would like [North America in 2018] to be the case and that there are other members of the Executive Committee that would prefer every third World Cup should be in Europe, in which case 2018 will be more likely for Europe," said Gulati, relaying Blatter's views.
In other words, let Europe take 2018 and get ready for USA 2022.
Blatter, a big football flirt, has a track record of playing to the gallery and publicly saying what he believes the audience at the time wants to hear, especially when it comes to World Cup bids.
But once in a while the truth slips out.
The United States has a powerful case and Australia's World Cup bid may require more than a scenic and telegenic commercial with an invitation to 'come play'.
In New York and Washington DC, Australia's bid may have hit the wall.
Just don't tell anyone in Australia.
As always, interesting views and info from the external "real" world of football positioning and politics etc at high levels.
Europe will probably get 2018 with England of course hot favourites though Spain could be the not so "dark house" esp if they were to say win the 2010 WC. However, England FA learnt much from their disasterous 2006 bid and got the Olympics a little later when they beat hot favs France. Conversely if they are perceived to be overly arrogant and its their right to host, then UEFA and FIFA could react badly and shift away to say Spain (or even Russia).
That would potentially leave USA and Oz to be main rivals for 2022.
Things in favour/against both:
USA has the best stadium infrastructure already in place, proven hosts in 1994, CONCACAF will not have hosted for 28 years, has huge domestic market, better time zone for the Americas and Europe TV coverage and of course the "Obama factor" etc. Negatives include has already had a WC in the modern era, the Americas will have hosted only 8 years before (i.e. Brazil), time zone not good for Asian TV market, still not seen as football culture (but "soccer"), heat/humidity of mid-summer etc.
Australia has hosted the "best ever" green Olympics, aligns with biggest market in the world and growth area for FIFA (i.e. Asia), there will have been a 20 year gap since last Asian host, climate friendly in our mild winter, TV time zone favourable to Asia and of course the "Lowy factor" etc. Negatives include not friendly for Euro and Americas time zones for TV coverage, smallish domestic market, many stadiums still to be built and upgraded, still a hangover of "soccer" culture as rival code and may not be perceived as united bid, etc
At this early stage it could be 60/40 (in favour of USA) if we first get the nod from AFC and then compete with USA for 2022. Yet, remember in 1993, when China were favourites to host the 2000 Olympics, we kept the intense lobbying going right to the eve of the voting and got there in almost an upset!
Blatter may be very influential as FIFA's head, though that didn't stop unpredictable factors giving Germany the 2006 finals - expect very many twists, turns and surprises before the dual-decisions by FIFA in late 2010.
Think chances of Australia hosting WC are slim due to tv audiences. Would be a coup for Australia in marketing terms, personally I think WC is much bigger than the Olympics, and more focussed upon each national squad (the brand value carries over with players into European club football on tv during season).
South Africa is excellent for tv, if living in Europe, main matches will be at work knock off time and mid evening...made for sponsors.....and viewers...
Ahh Sepp, he is the ultimate of politians, always saying something that allows the audience to take out of it what they want. Lets have a look at the quote above.
"If FIFA were following a rotation policy (which they are not) then it would in fact be North America's turn". So this statement does not actually commit to anything and allows the person hearing it to take out of it what they want to.
And if we look at Gulati's comments: "There are some within the Executive Committee that would like [North America in 2018] to be the case." Of course there are, the 3 CONCACAF delegates.
If Australia has the 4 AFC votes (and that might not be as esay as it seems) along with the 1 OFC vote. They can make a deal with UEFA and 2022 is ours!!
Europe every third World Cup????....
Australia's problem lies with a Euro-Centric FIFA not North America - who have every right to expect to host before Asia as they have waited 8 years longer. The power shift of world football to Asia can't come quick enough.
If this is the policy then we may as well forget it now as it will end up a North America/Europe double for 2018/2022 and we can save ourselves $50m on the bid.
Build the stadiums and bid for 2026 - unfortunately for Frank - who deserves the accolade - it might just be too late.
Europe every third World Cup????....
Australia's problem lies with a Euro-Centric FIFA not North America - who have every right to expect to host before Asia as they have waited 8 years longer. The power shift of world football to Asia can't come quick enough.
If this is the policy then we may as well forget it now as it will end up a North America/Europe double for 2018/2022 and we can save ourselves $50m on the bid.
Build the stadiums and bid for 2026 - unfortunately for Frank - who deserves the accolade - it might just be too late.
Thankfully, sometimes, the expected does not happen. Sure things fall over, the most popular pathway leads in an entirely unexpected direction.
I wouldn't cash in all our chips, and dash from the casino just yet.
When posting comments on blogs you agree to abide by our terms and conditions.
Comments that are offensive, defamatory, unsuitable or that breach any aspects of the terms will be deleted.
Advertisement
| member centre | network map | mobile | advertise with us | place a classified ad |
playing to the galleries seems about right i reckon. why would it be north americas turn straight after sth america have had a go? it's the same continent and the same region. nth america have had multiple chances for football to take hold. the greatness of pele went there, the spectacle of the world cup has been there and the celebrity of david beckham has gone there. the game still languishes. meanwhile asia hungrily soakes up all the football world offers it and still can't get enough. world economics now centre themselves toward asia and so will football. in 2022 it will be 20 years since the world cup was staged in asia.....for the fastest growing football region in the world, that's too long too miss out. and i don't think they will.