Matthew Hall

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2018: The Contenders

With a lot of World Cup hot air, which countries are making a run for 2018?

It's worth noting that, as FIFA's Executive Committee sat down in Tokyo the weekend before Christmas to decide ground rules for the 2018 and 2022 bidding process, just three countries had officially declared an interest.

Here's the who, why, and why not to official bids and possible contenders.

DEFINITELY IN

England
The old-school sentimental favourite, England hosted the World Cup in 1966 (the only year it's won the world's top football trophy) and the European Championships in 1996. It has set up "England 2018", a bid body chaired by Lord Triesman, also the Football Association's chairman, and has government backing. England has history, facilities, and infrastructure. It also has enemies around the football world.

Belgium-Holland (Yes, combined)

Belgium and Holland successfully hosted Euro 2000, a tournament with just 16 teams rather than the 32-nation World Cup. Considered an outsider among the big boys, a key to success could come as a compromise candidate. Michel Platini, president of UEFA, European football's governing body, has privately said he wants just one bid from Europe. If not, he won't vote in his role on the Executive Committee when the time comes to decide.

Australia
In early December, the Federal Government agreed to fund Australia's bid with over $45 million in cash. That decision formally announced Australia was in the running for 2018. There are many positives to Australia hosting in 2018 but it will have to overcome challenges as well - primarily Europe's tight grip on hosts and, after 2010 in South Africa and 2014 in Brazil, Europeans will vote to bring the World Cup back to the northern hemisphere.

SERIOUSLY CONSIDERING

Spain
Angel Maria Villar Llona, the President of Spain's Football Federation, pledged on his reelection in November that bringing the World Cup to Spain (it hosted in 1982) would be a top priority. There has been talk of a joint bid with Portugal (host of Euro 2004) but Spain has stadium and infrastructure - not to mention cafés and restaurants - that make it a possible leading contender. It would attract support from South America and, probably, North and Central America.

Russia
There's money in Russia, sort of. While individuals like Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich have deep, deep, pockets, the government is experiencing financial difficulties, just like all countries around the world. There were even recent reports that it has requested refunds on loans to the 2014 Sochi Winter Olympic organisers. Prohibitive costs - Moscow is one of the world's most expensive cities - may make it a nightmare for common fans.

THE LONG SHOTS

Qatar
The Arab nation wants to be a player in the sports world but it's widely agreed that factors out of its control - like the weather in June when a World Cup would be held - makes success for a bid unlikely.

China
An ideal host for FIFA and its continuing push into Asia. Football is growing fast and, more importantly, so is the economy. But Chinese football is a mess on and off the pitch and 2018 may be a few years too soon.

DARK HORSE

United States of America
United States Soccer Federation boss Sunil Galati is on record saying the US will confirm its position once it knows the official bidding process. The US, which successfully hosted in 1994, would have a powerful bid. Watch this space. A lot.

Mexico
Should Mexico be successful for 2018 or 2022, it would be the first county to host the tournament three times - after 1970 and 1986. The Mexican Federation was ready to bid among its regional rivals had FIFA maintained its rotation policy and it's federation president has boldly declared "it is not a matter of 'if" it is 'when'".


COMMENTS

Hmmm, which country will 'win'? My guess is it will be the one with the highest percentage of morons idiotic enough to believe in the mythical benefits that hosting a large sporting carnival supposedly brings.

But what about the visitors you say? Won't they spend millions of dollars boosting our economy? Well yes, they will - but that needs to be off set against the tens of thousands of visitors who won't come, deterred by fears of overpriced hotels and sky high airfares. Ah but how about all that wonderful infrastructure we'll be left with? You mean underused stadiums funded with billions of dollars of public investment that could have gone to something useful? Yep, there'll be plenty of that too. But won't there be an overall boost to our economy? Only if you use the most rubbery of economic figures commissioned by, surprise surprise, the people sponsoring the bid. Witness the supposed huge 'boost' Germany received from the 06 world cup as it is the first major economy in the Eurozone to plunge into recession. Marvel at the splendid benefits to China of hosting the 2008 Olympics as its economy enters a slow down for the first time in a generation.

Face it people, if you believe hosting one of these travelling circuses would be good for Australia (and that includes the ridiculous Grand Prix that costs the Vistorian taxpayers $40m + every year), then I have a lovely bridge down near the Rocks I'd like to sell you.

  • by Kurt on December 20, 2008 at 08:36 AM

I think people are overestimating Englands chances here. English FA is currently at a war with UEFA with the issues such as foreign players, foreign ownership, debt in football, child protection, 39th match etc.

Now UEFA are threatening with the help of EU and President Sarkozy to create a superboard to take over English FA and other sporting board throughout Europe to legislate and enforces change.

Michel Platini and Sepp Blatter are well known opponents of English Football. I doubt that will help England win the world cup.

  • by dasilva on December 20, 2008 at 10:19 AM

A European country (probably England) to win the bid in 2018. With either China, the USA or Mexico for 2022 (if they bid, that is).

  • by Jess on December 22, 2008 at 02:48 PM

I have some empathy for Kurt's healthy suspicion of the figures created by economists and other financial fiddlers. However, if we spread his logic widely it does seem to thin. Many would say that the epicentre of the current fiscal melt down is the USA, and yet they didn't host the World Cup in recent times, unless '94 counts. Sydney hosted the Olympics in 2000, and it has taken 8 years for the slump to arrive. There are more examples, but it seems a little tenous to claim that major sporting events are the harbingers of economic collapse.

  • by Simon Maher on December 23, 2008 at 09:54 AM

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